federal reserve digital currency 2020- Top Knowledge graph

Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Japan's short-term survey index of large-scale manufacturing industry in December reported 14, with an estimated 13.CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on.

A spokesman for UnitedHealth Group said that the mother of Mangione, a suspect accused of shooting a company executive, also had no insurance for UnitedHealth.Russian Intelligence Agency: NATO is worried about Russia's statement about the western participation in the attack on Russia. The Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency issued a statement on the 12th local time, saying that according to the information obtained by the bureau, NATO headquarters is extremely worried about Russia's statement that the United States, Britain and France are directly involved in using western long-range weapons to attack deep areas of Russia. NATO legal experts worry that Russia may accuse western countries of armed aggression against Russia.The Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to the news of Henan government network, on December 12, the Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Zhengzhou, and reached a cooperation intention on jointly promoting capital market construction and promoting local economic development. The two sides will adhere to the principles of complementary advantages, resource sharing, project traction, innovation and win-win, and establish an all-round, multi-level, long-term stable, cooperative and mutually beneficial strategic cooperative relationship; Focusing on the implementation of major national strategies and the key industrial chain groups cultivated in Henan Province, we will intensify the cultivation and promote more high-quality enterprises to go public; Give full play to the role of industry-finance service platform and further broaden financing channels; Establish an all-round communication mechanism, strengthen information sharing and work coordination, and jointly create a good environment for the development of the capital market.

Rio Tinto will invest $2.5 billion to develop a new lithium mine in Argentina, and Rio Tinto Group plans to invest $2.5 billion to develop a new lithium mine in Argentina, which is a victory for Argentine President Javier Millay, who is trying to loosen the control of the economy and attract foreign investment. The British company said in an announcement on Thursday that it plans to build a processing plant with an annual output of 60,000 tons of lithium carbonate in Rincon mine. Subject to permission, the construction of the facility will begin in the middle of next year.CITIC Jiantou: The Matthew effect of the property insurance industry is expected to be further highlighted. CITIC Jiantou said that the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau recently issued the Action Plan on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, Promoting Reform and Promoting the High-quality Development of the Property Insurance Industry. In terms of comprehensive supervision and strict supervision, the Action Plan proposes to improve the quality and effectiveness of property insurance supervision from strengthening market access and exit supervision, promoting hierarchical and classified supervision, strictly rectifying illegal activities, and improving prudential supervision system and rules. In terms of effectively preventing and resolving risks, the Action Plan proposes to enhance the ability of risk prevention and resolution of the property insurance industry by enhancing the ability of capital replenishment and improving the monitoring and early warning system, and proposes to encourage mergers and acquisitions of property insurance companies. Deepen reform and promote opening up, and propose to guide property insurance institutions to position their development, accelerate business transformation and upgrading, enhance risk management capabilities, and promote high-level opening up. On the whole, the Action Plan will help to prevent and resolve risks in the property insurance industry, lay a foundation and provide guidance for the high-quality development of the industry, and the Matthew effect of the industry is expected to be further highlighted.CITIC Securities: It is expected that the scale of personal pension will grow steadily. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 12, 2024, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of Personal Pension System, and the personal pension system will be promoted to the whole country on December 15, with emphasis on product supply and collection conditions optimized. In terms of individual pension funds, 85 index funds were added. At present, the total number of personal pension products is 941, and the performance of most products is relatively stable. The personal pension system shoulders the important mission of perfecting the multi-level and multi-pillar pension insurance system and doing a good job in pension finance. It is expected that with the continuous optimization of system design, continuous enrichment of product supply and continuous improvement of service level, the scale of personal pension is expected to grow steadily, which will also help to better play the wealth management function of the capital market and build a sound policy system of "long money and long investment".