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2024-12-13 23:07:10

Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.Trump supports that American dockers' employers should not replace them with automated equipment. US President-elect Donald Trump met with the leaders of the International Dockers' Association on Thursday and expressed his support for the dockers' union. The union's strike in October led to the closure of ports in the east and the Gulf Coast, and may now strike again. Trump met with Harold Daggett, chairman of the labor union, and Dennis Daggett, his son and executive vice chairman, and then posted on social media: "I have studied automation and know almost everything about it. The money saved is far less than the anxiety, pain and harm it brings to American workers. " The union's strike in October closed all major container ports from Houston to Miami to Boston for three days, and then the union agreed to return to work in exchange for a 61.5% contract salary increase in the next six years.On the 13th, local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.


Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.In 2024, the actual overseas sales revenue of China's self-developed games is expected to be 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year. The Game Working Committee released the "Research Report on Games Going to Sea in China in 2024". In 2024, the global game market will be 1,216.335 billion yuan, up 3.31% year-on-year. The global mobile game market was 635.569 billion yuan, up 4.83% year-on-year. The growth trend of the global mobile game market has obviously slowed down. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets is estimated to be $18.557 billion, up 13.39% year-on-year.In the first 11 months of this year, Guangdong's import and export increased by 10% year-on-year. According to statistics from Guangdong Branch of the General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months of this year, Guangdong's foreign trade import and export reached 8.27 trillion yuan, up by 10% year-on-year, faster than the national growth rate by 5.1 percentage points, accounting for 20.8% of the national total import and export value. Among them, exports were 5.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.7%; Imports reached 2.9 trillion yuan, up by 12.6%.


Turkish regulators blocked access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges, and the Turkish Capital Markets Board listed websites that allegedly provided unauthorized cryptoasset services to Turkish customers.Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.

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